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News
and comment by a journalist based in London
Why smart bombs don't work This first appeared in Out There News, an AOL news channel, 13 November 1998. Edward
Spiers, Professor of Strategic Studies, University of Leeds:
What we can’t guarantee is that the bombing will destroy all traces
of weapons of mass destruction: that didn’t happen before, it’s very
unlikely to happen again. You
must remember that by the time the bombing started, Saddam had had plenty
of months to move, conceal and redeploy his weapons of mass destruction
capability. So when the inspectors came after the war, they found
that a far higher proportion of that capability was intact than had
been claimed at the time in the various press briefings. Iraq
is a large country in which to hide things. But the US has been monitoring
the situation for seven years now, in support of the UNSCOM inspectors,
so they have a fair idea where the major sites were. The
real question is that you’ve now had a 100 days since you’ve had
any inspections at all, there may be little in those areas given
this length of time to conceal. We’re
in the same sort of situation we were in before the Gulf War. We’ve
given Saddam an enormous amount of time in which to conceal equipment,
machinery, weapon systems. Today, we know where the sites were. But
we can’t be sure that everything we thought was there is still there.
And that’s a problem for precision bombing. I
wouldn’t be surprised if there were quite a few mosques around Baghdad
packed full of weapons material in the assumption that they won’t
be going for mosques. This is what happened last time round and it’s
a pretty good assumption that he would go for similar sorts of devices.
And
Saddam, he’ll be moving himself round the clock, knowing that
he himself may well be a target of any proposed bombing. home|
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